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Analysis of construction project cost risk in bidding documents preparation phase

Authors:
Nguyễn Trọng Hà, Phan Văn Long, Hoàng Xuân Hà, Lương Đình Sơn
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Construction projects usually involve high investments. Hence, the project cost risk analysis during the project bids phase is important. In fact, the costs of construction projects nearly always exceed the planned scenario. This research presents the cost risk analysis method during the project bids phase with the input parameter as the uncertainty variable. The uncertainty variable distribution in this research built on the historical data set of 130 projects invested in the period of 2015-2019. The research has shown that the input parameters as the uncertainty variables are the causes affecting the risks encountered when the contractor executes the project. Moreover, this research also has shown that the Monte Carlo simulation and sensitivity analysis is the tool to detect and risk management.
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Vinh University journal of science

Tạp chí khoa học Trường Đại học Vinh

ISSN: 1859 - 2228

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License: 163/GP-BTTTT issued by the Minister of Information and Communications on May 10, 2023

Open Access License: Creative Commons CC BY NC 4.0

 

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